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As of 1 May, the S&P 500 has closed up for eight days straight. Itâs a run which saw the index rise 8.6%, its longest winning streak since August 2024, and itâs another proof point for staying invested.
So, given that the Magnificent Seven tech firms have done a lot of heavy lifting for the S&P 500 over the past couple of years, you can bet that analysts were glued to their screens as Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and Apple released their earnings reports this week.
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Alphabet (Googleâs parent company), Nvidia, and Tesla grew their earnings by about 20% last quarter. Signs are good so far: Microsoft, Meta, and Alphabet have all beat Wall Streetâs expectations, each posting higher-than-expected revenues. To round things off, Nvidia will be releasing its report by the end of the month.
As a whole, earnings for companies in the S&P 500 are projected to have expanded by around 10% last quarter. If solid earnings shape up for the broader index, US stocks might see a more balanced and sustainable recovery after the volatility weâve seen so far this year.
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Much of this depends on how the US economy holds up. Data out on Wednesday showed that US GDP shrank 0.3% in the first quarter â a sharp drop compared to the 2.4% growth of the previous quarter.
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Keep in mind, all the tariff turmoil has been muddying the waters. Despite the contraction, economists expect a rebound to around 2% growth in Q2.
This optimism makes sense when you look closer at what drove the decline: a surge in imports as businesses rushed to stockpile goods ahead of tariffs.
Imports subtract from GDP calculations, but they donât necessarily signal underlying economic weakness.
The larger impact â on businesses and consumers â will likely be clearer over the coming months.
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Thereâs a certain thrill in being invested in one company, sector, or theme. It feels decisive â and if your bet doesnât pay off, at least you swung for the fences, right?
But the risk with overconcentration is simple: your bet pays off only if your thesis â and timing â are exact. You arenât just riding on a single investment, but on economic conditions, market sentiment, and more.
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The real danger is that the journey can be so gut-wrenching that you bail when things get rough. Big drawdowns can spark emotional decisions, and the worst losses often come when investors exit at the bottom and miss the rebound.
Staying invested beats going all-in only for the market to pivot elsewhere â and a diversified portfolio that can perform across different scenarios gives you the best shot at that.
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We havenât seen a market meltdown this year, but we have seen a reality check. While the Nasdaq and the Magnificent Seven dropped almost 20% due to tariff-related volatility, other assets quietly did their job.
Diversification didnât just soften the initial blow to US equities, it delivered gains.
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All eyes are on whether America's tech giants can deliver strong earnings even as the broader economy shows just enough cooling to keep interest rate cuts on the table. This combination â corporate strength coupled with lower rates on the horizon â could be exactly what's needed to restore market optimism.
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While closely related, a company's earnings and its stock price don't always move in tandem. Share prices reflect investors' expectations about future earnings, not just current results.
Itâs why a firm can have a strong showing, but see its stock fall if it doesnât meet expectations, or if its future outlook disappoints.
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IDEAS CURATED BY
Aloha with my heart! đ€ I'm Gabriel, entrepreneur from Bangkok, Thailand. đ My stash isn't only a point of view. But what I've learn in everyday life. Kindly following me, if my stash ignites some value for you. đđ» Let's greet and share!
CURATOR'S NOTE
Summary from my email subscription "StashAway Weekly Buzz" and this week is about "Big Tech's big week"
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